Who the fuck is “military analyst” Patricia Marins? With more than 40,000 followers on X, Patricia Marins blogs about military equipment, military strategy, and current conflicts. Her content has gradually expanded to cover a wide range of topics, from naval and air forces to weapons systems from around the world, with a particular focus on the Russia–Ukraine war. She presents herself as someone with broad knowledge, solid judgment, and a strong educational background. She claims to be Brazilian and based in Rio de Janeiro.
That already raises some questions. Military analysis is an unusual field for women, and virtually all military analysts I am familiar with are men (John Robb, Martin van Creveld, etc.).
The real issue, however, is that in Brazil the intelligentsia—while growing—is still relatively small and fairly well-connected. Yet there is almost nothing about her online. She is not associated with any university (São Paulo, Campinas, etc.) or think tank (such as FGV), which is where people in this field are typically found. There is no LinkedIn profile, apart from unrelated individuals with the same name. In a country where the intellectual elite is still a razor-thin minority, this level of anonymity is unusual. No one seems to know her.
Compared to other Latin American countries, English is not widely spoken in Brazil. Her English is good, but clearly not native. She never posts in Portuguese. I tried contacting her in Portuguese and received no reply. More recently, she has begun posting random videos from Brazil, possibly to reinforce the claim that she is based there.
The only identifiable trace that appears to refer to the same person—and not simply someone with the same name—is that of a designer with many cats.
“Designer Patrícia Marins, owner of three cats, never compromises on safety and has installed safety nets on all the windows of her apartment. “When I adopted my kittens, I made sure to guarantee that they wouldn’t be at risk. With the nets, they can sunbathe in the window without the danger of falling or escaping,” she says.
Patrícia believes that the nets do not limit the cats’ freedom, on the contrary. “They have a safe space where they can observe the street without being exposed to dangers. In addition, I created an enriching environment inside the house, with toys and places for them to hide and explore,” she says.” O Dia
So, do we have a female, Rio based designer here with many cats, that browses the internet the whole day and blogs on X about current military affairs, or do we have a Russian troll here? You decide.